Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.030013 0.034917 0.040315 0.046689 0.054005 0.062130 0.071830
2025-10-12 0.023485 0.030069 0.037977 0.048144 0.060837 0.076125 0.095897
2025-10-19 0.017901 0.024946 0.034082 0.046728 0.063704 0.085615 0.115942
2025-10-26 0.014308 0.021501 0.031483 0.046228 0.067310 0.096198 0.138570
2025-11-02 0.011424 0.018391 0.028675 0.044781 0.069151 0.104363 0.158733
2025-11-09 0.009343 0.016022 0.026452 0.043678 0.071103 0.112660 0.179822
2025-11-16 0.007953 0.014450 0.025130 0.043638 0.074489 0.123265 0.205365
2025-11-23 0.006647 0.012764 0.023321 0.042468 0.075790 0.130612 0.226447
2025-11-30 0.006071 0.012247 0.023375 0.044387 0.082366 0.147060 0.263941
2025-12-07 0.005323 0.011270 0.022453 0.044416 0.085603 0.158163 0.293488
2025-12-14 0.004519 0.010042 0.020871 0.042976 0.085954 0.164197 0.314697
2025-12-21 0.003954 0.009193 0.019880 0.042499 0.087977 0.173327 0.342251
2025-12-28 0.003734 0.009055 0.020310 0.044936 0.095995 0.194512 0.394613
2026-01-04 0.003456 0.008739 0.020328 0.046533 0.102541 0.213597 0.444978
2026-01-11 0.002983 0.007889 0.019072 0.045257 0.103041 0.220948 0.473227
2026-01-18 0.002638 0.007281 0.018257 0.044820 0.105231 0.231858 0.509628
2026-01-25 0.002281 0.006572 0.017100 0.043439 0.105175 0.238104 0.537022
2026-02-01 0.001992 0.005986 0.016143 0.042378 0.105684 0.245542 0.567581
2026-02-08 0.001795 0.005612 0.015645 0.042346 0.108533 0.258273 0.610679
2026-02-15 0.001571 0.005114 0.014755 0.041211 0.108623 0.264877 0.640876
2026-02-22 0.001502 0.005060 0.015025 0.043078 0.116219 0.289201 0.713187
2026-03-01 0.001365 0.004772 0.014617 0.043108 0.119238 0.303213 0.763097
2026-03-08 0.001192 0.004337 0.013728 0.041708 0.118441 0.308120 0.792137